Episode #12 | January 12, 2026 @ 1:00 PM EST

Sharp Unknowns: Epistemicism and the Boundaries of Vague Predicates

Guest

Dr. Timothy Williamson (Philosopher, Oxford University)
Announcer The following program features simulated voices generated for educational and philosophical exploration.
Leonard Jones Good afternoon. I'm Leonard Jones.
Jessica Moss And I'm Jessica Moss. Welcome to Simulectics Radio.
Leonard Jones Today we're examining vagueness—the phenomenon where predicates lack sharp boundaries. When exactly does a heap of sand cease to be a heap if we remove grains one by one? When does someone tall become not-tall? These questions generate the sorites paradox, which challenges our understanding of meaning, truth, and reality itself.
Jessica Moss Vagueness pervades ordinary language and thought. Nearly every predicate we use—tall, bald, old, red—admits borderline cases where we cannot definitively say whether the term applies. This raises fundamental questions about whether vagueness resides in reality, in our representations, or in something else entirely.
Leonard Jones Our guest is Dr. Timothy Williamson, Wykeham Professor of Logic at Oxford University. Professor Williamson has made landmark contributions to epistemology, logic, and philosophy of language, particularly regarding vagueness, where he defends the controversial view that vague predicates have sharp boundaries that we cannot know. Welcome back.
Dr. Timothy Williamson Thank you. Vagueness raises deep questions about the relationship between language, knowledge, and reality.
Jessica Moss Let's start with the sorites paradox itself. What makes it genuinely paradoxical rather than just puzzling?
Dr. Timothy Williamson The sorites presents apparently inconsistent claims that each seem individually compelling. Consider a series of people from clearly tall to clearly not tall, differing by only a millimeter in height. We accept that the first person is tall. We're inclined to accept a tolerance principle—that if someone is tall, then someone just one millimeter shorter is also tall. But repeated application leads to the absurd conclusion that everyone in the series is tall, including the clearly short person at the end.
Leonard Jones Let me be precise about the structure. We have three claims: first, the initial case clearly has the property. Second, small changes preserve the property. Third, the final case clearly lacks it. These are jointly inconsistent, yet each seems true.
Dr. Timothy Williamson Exactly. The paradox forces us to reject at least one claim. Different theories of vagueness correspond to different rejection strategies. Epistemicist views like mine reject our knowledge of where the boundary lies while maintaining that a sharp boundary exists. Semantic approaches reject bivalence or classical logic. Metaphysical approaches suggest reality itself is indeterminate.
Jessica Moss Your epistemicist view seems counterintuitive. How can there be a precise cutoff for tallness when the concept seems essentially inexact?
Dr. Timothy Williamson The intuition that vague predicates lack sharp boundaries is strong but potentially misleading. Consider that every coherent semantic theory must draw distinctions somewhere. Even theories positing semantic indeterminacy must sharply distinguish what's determinately true from what's indeterminate. The question is whether these distinctions correspond to our ordinary vague predicates or to some theoretical metalanguage. Epistemicism places the sharpness at the object level, which respects classical logic and semantics.
Leonard Jones But what could determine where the boundary falls? If someone 180 centimeters tall is tall but someone 179.9 centimeters is not, what makes this the case rather than some slightly different cutoff?
Dr. Timothy Williamson This is the problem of what determines the sharp boundary. My view is that linguistic usage and context determine these boundaries, but in a highly complex way involving all our applications of the term, weighting by salience and similarity. The boundary falls where it does because of the total pattern of usage, even though no one can identify its precise location. This is analogous to how vague laws or social norms have precise applications we cannot predict.
Jessica Moss That seems to make the boundary arbitrary. If usage determines it but usage itself is imprecise, how does a precise boundary emerge?
Dr. Timothy Williamson The boundary isn't arbitrary in the sense of being random or conventional. It's determined by objective facts about usage, context, and similarity relations. The appearance of arbitrariness comes from our ignorance—we cannot trace all the complex factors that fix the boundary. But determinacy doesn't require accessibility. Many facts are determinate yet unknowable to us.
Leonard Jones What's the alternative? Theories that deny bivalence seem to require radical revision of logic itself.
Dr. Timothy Williamson Supervaluationist and degree-theoretic approaches do revise classical logic, though in different ways. Supervaluationism says a statement is true if true on all precisifications of vague terms, false if false on all, and neither if true on some and false on others. This preserves many classical principles but rejects the law of excluded middle for borderline cases. Degree theories assign truth values between zero and one, requiring continuous truth functions.
Jessica Moss Do these semantic approaches adequately capture vagueness in natural language?
Dr. Timothy Williamson They face difficulties. Supervaluationism generates odd results about higher-order vagueness—vagueness about where borderline cases begin. If we try to say where the borderline region starts, we face new borderline cases, suggesting infinite regress. Degree theories struggle with the paradox of the preface—if we conjoin statements each highly probable, the conjunction can have very low probability, which seems wrong for statements each individually almost true.
Leonard Jones Higher-order vagueness seems particularly challenging. If there's vagueness about where vagueness begins, doesn't this threaten any sharp theoretical boundary?
Dr. Timothy Williamson Higher-order vagueness affects all theories, including epistemicism. But epistemicism can treat it uniformly—just as we don't know where tallness begins, we don't know where borderline tallness begins. There's no infinite regress of unknowability, just ignorance at each level. Semantic theories must posit vague metalanguages to describe vagueness, which seems methodologically problematic.
Jessica Moss What about ontic vagueness—the view that reality itself, not just our representations, can be indeterminate?
Dr. Timothy Williamson Ontic vagueness is controversial. Some philosophers argue that quantum mechanics might involve genuine metaphysical indeterminacy, not just epistemic uncertainty. But for ordinary vagueness about heaps or baldness, ontic vagueness seems unmotivated. It's unclear what it would mean for the world itself to be indeterminate about whether something is a heap, independent of our conceptual schemes.
Leonard Jones Could vagueness be understood pragmatically—as a feature of how we use language for practical purposes rather than a semantic or metaphysical phenomenon?
Dr. Timothy Williamson Pragmatic factors certainly influence vagueness. We tolerate vague predicates because precise ones would be impractical—specifying exact height cutoffs for tallness would be pointless given measurement imprecision and contextual variation. But pragmatic considerations don't eliminate the semantic and metaphysical questions. We still need to understand what vague sentences mean and what makes them true or false.
Jessica Moss How does your view connect to margin-for-error principles in epistemology? You've written extensively on how our knowledge requires safety from error.
Dr. Timothy Williamson Margin-for-error principles explain our ignorance of sharp boundaries. Even if there's a precise cutoff for tallness, our judgments about borderline cases couldn't be reliably safe—small changes in the case could flip the truth value while our judgment remains unchanged. To know where the boundary is, our beliefs would need to track it reliably, but the fineness of discrimination required exceeds our epistemic capacities.
Leonard Jones This suggests vagueness is fundamentally an epistemic phenomenon—a matter of our ignorance rather than semantic or metaphysical indeterminacy.
Dr. Timothy Williamson That's the epistemicist position. Vagueness is our ignorance of sharp boundaries that exist in reality. This preserves classical logic, bivalence, and compositional semantics. The cost is accepting that competent speakers can be ignorant of semantic facts about their own language. But this isn't unprecedented—we're often ignorant about complex regularities in domains we navigate successfully.
Jessica Moss What are the practical implications? Does philosophical analysis of vagueness matter for how we use vague language?
Dr. Timothy Williamson Understanding vagueness is practically important wherever precise boundaries matter—in law, medicine, policy. Legal systems constantly face questions about vague statutory language. When does someone become an adult? What counts as reasonable care? Courts must make definite rulings even when the law is vague. Epistemicism suggests these rulings determine previously unknowable boundaries rather than creating them arbitrarily.
Leonard Jones How does vagueness relate to contextualism—the view that truth conditions vary with context?
Dr. Timothy Williamson Context certainly affects vague predicates. What counts as tall varies between contexts—tall for a jockey differs from tall for a basketball player. But contextualism doesn't eliminate vagueness. Even within a fixed context, tall remains vague. Contextualism and epistemicism are compatible—context helps determine the unknowable boundary.
Jessica Moss What about dynamic approaches that treat meaning as evolving through conversation?
Dr. Timothy Williamson Dynamic semantics captures how context and information states change through discourse. But it faces challenges explaining how vague predicates behave in conditionals and embedded contexts. The sorites paradox persists even when we model dynamic meaning change. We still need to explain why tolerance principles seem true despite leading to contradiction.
Leonard Jones Does epistemicism have implications for the analytic-synthetic distinction? If conceptual truths can have unknowable boundaries, does this blur the distinction?
Dr. Timothy Williamson Epistemicism does challenge certain views about analyticity. If bachelor means unmarried man, this seems analytic. But suppose bachelor is also vague—perhaps young is implicitly part of the concept. Then whether a 70-year-old unmarried man is a bachelor might have a sharp but unknowable answer. This suggests analyticity doesn't guarantee transparency or conceptual analysis revealing all semantic facts.
Jessica Moss How do psychological studies of vagueness inform philosophical theories? Do empirical findings constrain acceptable accounts?
Dr. Timothy Williamson Empirical research on how people use and understand vague language is relevant but doesn't directly settle philosophical questions. People's intuitions about borderline cases being neither true nor false might reflect performance limitations rather than semantic competence. Philosophers and psychologists study different aspects—psychologists examine cognitive processing, philosophers examine normative questions about rational belief and assertion.
Leonard Jones What role do thought experiments play in adjudicating between theories of vagueness?
Dr. Timothy Williamson Thought experiments help test theories against intuitions, but intuitions about vagueness are often unreliable. We have strong intuitions that borderline cases lack definite truth values, yet this might reflect our ignorance rather than semantic reality. Theories should be judged by overall theoretical virtues—simplicity, explanatory power, consistency with logic and semantics—not just conformity to pretheoretic intuition.
Jessica Moss Does your view have implications for debates about realism? If vague predicates have sharp extensions determined by usage, does this support semantic realism?
Dr. Timothy Williamson Epistemicism is compatible with various metasemantic views. You could be a realist thinking meanings are objective facts about usage, or an anti-realist thinking they're projections of our practices. The key epistemicist claim is that whatever determines meaning determines sharp boundaries, even if we can't know where they fall. The metaphysics of meaning is a further question.
Leonard Jones What about vagueness in identity? Can it be vague whether two things are identical?
Dr. Timothy Williamson Evans's argument suggests vague identity is impossible. If it were vague whether a and b are identical, then a would definitely have the property of being definitely identical to a, but b would lack this property, so they'd be definitely distinct. This reasoning seems to show that vagueness in identity statements must derive from vagueness in the terms, not vagueness in identity itself.
Jessica Moss Does this resolve puzzles about when objects come into existence or cease to exist? The ship of Theseus, for instance?
Dr. Timothy Williamson The ship of Theseus and related puzzles involve vagueness in our persistence conditions for objects. Epistemicism says there are sharp facts about when objects exist and persist, but we can't know them precisely. The boundaries are determined by our conceptual practices but exceed our epistemic access. This doesn't eliminate the puzzles but relocates them from metaphysics to epistemology.
Leonard Jones What developments do you anticipate in the study of vagueness? Are there promising new approaches?
Dr. Timothy Williamson Recent work explores connections between vagueness and other phenomena—contextualism, semantic externalism, non-classical logics. Some researchers examine formal models of vagueness using probability theory or fuzzy logic. Others investigate experimental philosophy approaches to test which semantic theories match linguistic intuitions. The field remains active, with no emerging consensus but increasingly sophisticated theories.
Jessica Moss What advice would you give to philosophers approaching vagueness for the first time?
Dr. Timothy Williamson Don't assume that pretheoretic intuitions about vagueness must be preserved by a correct theory. The phenomenon is subtle enough that our initial judgments might be systematically mistaken. Instead, consider the full range of theoretical options, understand their commitments and consequences, and evaluate them by theoretical virtues. Vagueness forces us to think carefully about the relationship between meaning, truth, and knowledge.
Leonard Jones This has illuminated a phenomenon we encounter constantly but rarely examine rigorously. Thank you, Professor Williamson.
Dr. Timothy Williamson Thank you for the thoughtful discussion.
Jessica Moss That's our program. Until tomorrow, consider whether the boundaries of your concepts are merely unknown or genuinely indeterminate.
Leonard Jones And whether ignorance of semantic facts is a theoretical cost worth paying for classical logic and bivalence. Good afternoon.
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